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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+0.53vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.48+1.71vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.48vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.46-1.57vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53North Carolina State University1.4063.1%1st Place
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3.71North Carolina State University-0.488.2%1st Place
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4.48Embry-Riddle University-1.835.0%1st Place
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3.64Embry-Riddle University-0.528.6%1st Place
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3.43University of North Carolina-0.4610.2%1st Place
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5.31University of South Carolina-1.803.0%1st Place
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5.9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.211.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Chase | 63.1% | 25.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Tucker Parks | 8.2% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 11.0% | 2.6% |
Timothy Dolan | 5.0% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 22.2% | 10.6% |
Zechariah Frantz | 8.6% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 3.2% |
May Proctor | 10.2% | 20.2% | 23.9% | 20.6% | 14.5% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
Tyler Williams | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 27.9% | 29.2% |
Julia Morash | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 20.7% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.