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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.40+0.51vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University-0.52+1.67vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.46-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.80+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21-0.20vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.48-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51North Carolina State University1.4063.9%1st Place
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3.67Embry-Riddle University-0.527.4%1st Place
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4.47Embry-Riddle University-1.835.2%1st Place
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3.5University of North Carolina-0.4610.4%1st Place
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5.35University of South Carolina-1.802.6%1st Place
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5.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.212.0%1st Place
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3.7North Carolina State University-0.488.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 63.9% | 24.9% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 7.4% | 18.5% | 21.2% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 10.5% | 2.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 5.2% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 11.2% |
| May Proctor | 10.4% | 18.6% | 22.1% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 2.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 28.4% | 30.5% |
| Julia Morash | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 49.5% |
| Tucker Parks | 8.3% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.