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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.91+1.93vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.11+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.44-1.28vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.41-0.75vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.02-3.54vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.73-3.03vs Predicted
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10Denison University-0.85-3.74vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.97-3.10vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame0.27-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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4.5Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Toledo0.440.2%1st Place
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5.25Denison University-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.46Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.97Purdue University-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.26Denison University-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.9Miami University-1.970.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Notre Dame0.270.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gilbertson | 27.6% | 21.5% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alex Graves | 9.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Scott Marriott | 17.8% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| William Jaquinde | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 5.4% |
| Evan Graves | 11.3% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 11.7% |
| Nicolas Lyman | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 24.2% | 14.3% |
| William Andreae | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 60.9% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.