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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.80+5.03vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+4.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.37+4.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.38+3.47vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+4.90vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.01+3.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.16-0.72vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.03+0.33vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.88vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.33-2.30vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.61vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.50-1.08vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.37-2.65vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.11-4.41vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.76-2.85vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.40-5.99vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.09-3.67vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.04-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Tufts University0.8011.8%1st Place
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6.39Fairfield University0.4211.3%1st Place
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7.97Brown University0.377.0%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University0.387.5%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.2%1st Place
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9.02Northeastern University0.015.4%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University1.1610.8%1st Place
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8.33Middlebury College0.035.9%1st Place
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8.12Olin College of Engineering0.226.7%1st Place
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7.7Brown University0.337.0%1st Place
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11.61University of New Hampshire-0.002.6%1st Place
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10.92University of Rhode Island-0.503.2%1st Place
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10.35University of New Hampshire-0.374.2%1st Place
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9.59McGill University-0.114.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont-0.762.0%1st Place
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10.01Bates College-0.404.6%1st Place
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13.33University of New Hampshire-1.091.6%1st Place
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15.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.041.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 11.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Isabella Cho | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Adam Larzelere | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| James Jagielski | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Keller Morrison | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| James Sullivan | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Alden Coldreck | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Ted Richardsson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 8.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 15.5% |
| Iain Gillespie | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 14.7% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.