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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Adam Gilbertson 27.6% 21.5% 17.1% 14.0% 9.8% 5.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Alex Graves 9.5% 12.6% 14.2% 13.9% 15.3% 14.1% 10.6% 6.9% 2.9%
Scott Marriott 17.8% 16.0% 16.1% 15.3% 12.1% 10.7% 7.9% 3.8% 0.3%
William Jaquinde 6.9% 9.0% 10.6% 11.2% 12.6% 13.8% 15.0% 15.5% 5.4%
Evan Graves 11.3% 14.2% 14.4% 12.0% 10.9% 14.2% 11.4% 8.3% 3.3%
Brian Rosensteel 5.3% 5.2% 7.4% 8.7% 10.2% 13.1% 17.8% 20.6% 11.7%
Nicolas Lyman 4.8% 4.8% 4.9% 7.1% 10.5% 11.8% 17.6% 24.2% 14.3%
William Andreae 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 5.5% 7.6% 14.9% 60.9%
Jeffrey Miller 15.2% 14.9% 13.2% 15.0% 15.8% 11.8% 8.5% 4.6% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.