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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Ohio University-0.02+2.59vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.91+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.27+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.44-1.38vs Predicted
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7Denison University-0.41-1.77vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.11-3.73vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.73-3.96vs Predicted
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11Denison University-0.85-4.78vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.97-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.07Ohio State University0.910.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Notre Dame0.270.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Toledo0.440.2%1st Place
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5.23Denison University-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.27Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.04Purdue University-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.22Denison University-0.850.1%1st Place
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7.89Miami University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Graves | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 2.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 23.3% | 23.8% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Scott Marriott | 17.7% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| William Jaquinde | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Alex Graves | 13.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 23.8% | 10.7% |
| Nicolas Lyman | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 16.0% |
| William Andreae | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 16.9% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.