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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+3.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University-0.25+6.33vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.24+3.93vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.67+1.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.51+0.69vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.03+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.11+4.83vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.74+2.33vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.42+3.08vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+1.94vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.33-1.70vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.31-3.45vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.82-2.26vs Predicted
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14Brown University-0.20-5.90vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.92-4.13vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.93-5.24vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.74-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Tufts University0.6914.9%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University-0.255.8%1st Place
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6.93University of Vermont0.247.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Rhode Island0.6714.6%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University0.5112.0%1st Place
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7.43Brown University0.037.1%1st Place
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11.83University of New Hampshire-1.112.3%1st Place
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10.33Fairfield University-0.743.9%1st Place
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12.08Middlebury College-1.421.8%1st Place
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11.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.3%1st Place
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9.3Bates College-0.334.7%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University-0.315.4%1st Place
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10.74University of New Hampshire-0.823.0%1st Place
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8.1Brown University-0.205.5%1st Place
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10.87Olin College of Engineering-0.923.0%1st Place
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10.76University of New Hampshire-0.932.7%1st Place
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10.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.743.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Skouloudi | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Purcell | 14.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.5% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| William Procter | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 17.4% |
| cole capizzo | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 17.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Max Boni | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Jake Lacoche | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Patience Gifford | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Rohan Shah | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% |
| William DeLong | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.