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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+3.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University-0.25+6.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.51+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.67+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.24+2.07vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.03+1.27vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.33+2.37vs Predicted
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8Brown University-0.20+0.20vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.74+1.02vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.11+1.71vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+0.86vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.92-1.14vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.31-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.82-3.18vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.93-4.30vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.74-5.70vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.42-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Tufts University0.6915.8%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University-0.255.8%1st Place
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5.55Tufts University0.5112.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Rhode Island0.6714.2%1st Place
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7.07University of Vermont0.247.7%1st Place
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7.27Brown University0.037.5%1st Place
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9.37Bates College-0.333.5%1st Place
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8.2Brown University-0.205.5%1st Place
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10.02Fairfield University-0.743.2%1st Place
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11.71University of New Hampshire-1.112.2%1st Place
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11.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.5%1st Place
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10.86Olin College of Engineering-0.923.1%1st Place
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8.79Northeastern University-0.315.4%1st Place
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10.82University of New Hampshire-0.822.9%1st Place
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10.7University of New Hampshire-0.932.8%1st Place
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10.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.742.8%1st Place
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11.96Middlebury College-1.422.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Skouloudi | 15.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Annecy Kagan | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Purcell | 14.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Patience Gifford | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 14.3% |
| cole capizzo | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 15.8% |
| Rohan Shah | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| Max Boni | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| William DeLong | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| William Procter | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.