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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Ohio State University0.91+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.44+0.85vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.41+1.43vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.85+1.12vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.02-1.53vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.11-3.72vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.73-3.01vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame0.27-6.93vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.97-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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3.85University of Toledo0.440.1%1st Place
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5.43Denison University-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.12Denison University-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.47Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.28Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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5.99Purdue University-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Notre Dame0.270.2%1st Place
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7.89Miami University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gilbertson | 28.2% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Marriott | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| William Jaquinde | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 5.8% |
| Nicolas Lyman | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 23.2% | 13.3% |
| Evan Graves | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Alex Graves | 12.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 11.8% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 15.2% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| William Andreae | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.