← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University-0.25+7.37vs Predicted
-
2Fairfield University-0.74+8.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.74+7.09vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.51+1.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island0.67+0.09vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.69-0.99vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.33+2.33vs Predicted
-
8Brown University-0.20+0.19vs Predicted
-
9Brown University0.03-1.85vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University-0.17-1.76vs Predicted
-
11Olin College of Engineering-0.92+0.01vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-0.82-1.32vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-0.25vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire-0.93-3.21vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire-1.11-3.15vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College-1.42-4.11vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.24-10.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.37Tufts University-0.255.5%1st Place
-
10.16Fairfield University-0.743.8%1st Place
-
10.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.744.0%1st Place
-
5.55Tufts University0.5111.0%1st Place
-
5.09University of Rhode Island0.6713.6%1st Place
-
5.01Tufts University0.6916.1%1st Place
-
9.33Bates College-0.334.6%1st Place
-
8.19Brown University-0.204.8%1st Place
-
7.15Brown University0.038.2%1st Place
-
8.24Northeastern University-0.176.7%1st Place
-
11.01Olin College of Engineering-0.922.9%1st Place
-
10.68University of New Hampshire-0.822.9%1st Place
-
12.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.431.7%1st Place
-
10.79University of New Hampshire-0.932.7%1st Place
-
11.85University of New Hampshire-1.111.8%1st Place
-
11.89Middlebury College-1.422.4%1st Place
-
6.84University of Vermont0.247.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Traver | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| William DeLong | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Purcell | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 16.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Patience Gifford | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Rohan Shah | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 22.4% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 14.2% |
| William Procter | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 16.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.