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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.91+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo0.44+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.27+1.06vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.02+0.49vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.41-2.76vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.11-4.69vs Predicted
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10Denison University-0.85-3.73vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.73-5.05vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.97-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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3.88University of Toledo0.440.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Notre Dame0.270.2%1st Place
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4.49Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.24Denison University-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.31Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.27Denison University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.95Purdue University-0.730.1%1st Place
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7.89Miami University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gilbertson | 27.7% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Scott Marriott | 13.1% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 15.2% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Evan Graves | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| William Jaquinde | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 7.9% |
| Alex Graves | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Nicolas Lyman | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 24.5% | 14.3% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 11.7% |
| William Andreae | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 16.2% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.