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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.89+1.40vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.40+1.20vs Predicted
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3Colgate University2.53-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester1.17+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester1.17+0.28vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.79-1.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy0.99-2.38vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.85-3.28vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.79-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Cornell University2.890.3%1st Place
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3.2Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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2.97Colgate University2.530.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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4.94Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Military Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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5.72Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Andrews | 34.4% | 26.2% | 18.7% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Friedman | 19.2% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Layton | 22.8% | 22.0% | 20.8% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 21.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 21.2% | 22.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.