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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.44+2.72vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.91+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.27+1.06vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.02+0.53vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.11-0.78vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.41-2.67vs Predicted
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10Denison University-0.85-3.75vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.73-5.04vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.97-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of Toledo0.440.2%1st Place
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3.04Ohio State University0.910.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Notre Dame0.270.1%1st Place
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4.53Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.22Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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5.33Denison University-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.25Denison University-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.96Purdue University-0.730.1%1st Place
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7.89Miami University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Marriott | 18.5% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 23.6% | 24.2% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 14.1% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Evan Graves | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 2.3% |
| Alex Graves | 13.4% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| William Jaquinde | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 5.5% |
| Nicolas Lyman | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 25.1% | 13.6% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 12.4% |
| William Andreae | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.