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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+4.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.51+3.54vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.24+3.95vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.93+6.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.03+2.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.67-0.93vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.74+3.16vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.17+0.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University-0.20-0.87vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.33-0.75vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.74-0.80vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.11-0.38vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-0.32vs Predicted
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14Tufts University-0.25-5.54vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.92-4.06vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.42-3.98vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.82-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Tufts University0.6914.6%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University0.5113.6%1st Place
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6.95University of Vermont0.248.6%1st Place
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10.77University of New Hampshire-0.932.9%1st Place
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7.2Brown University0.038.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island0.6713.8%1st Place
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10.16Fairfield University-0.743.6%1st Place
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8.33Northeastern University-0.175.4%1st Place
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8.13Brown University-0.204.8%1st Place
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9.25Bates College-0.334.5%1st Place
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10.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.743.5%1st Place
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11.62University of New Hampshire-1.111.9%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.431.3%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University-0.255.5%1st Place
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10.94Olin College of Engineering-0.923.3%1st Place
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12.02Middlebury College-1.421.8%1st Place
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10.65University of New Hampshire-0.823.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Skouloudi | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Anthony Purcell | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Patience Gifford | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| William DeLong | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 23.8% |
| Greta Traver | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Rohan Shah | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% |
| William Procter | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.4% |
| Jake Lacoche | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.