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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.03+6.57vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+3.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University-0.20+5.39vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.51+1.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University-0.25+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.74+4.24vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.82+3.70vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.67-2.69vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.74+1.53vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-1.11vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.92+0.20vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.93-0.93vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.31-4.25vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-6.74vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.42-2.58vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.33-6.47vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.11-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Brown University0.036.5%1st Place
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5.01Tufts University0.6914.8%1st Place
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8.39Brown University-0.206.2%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University0.5112.6%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University-0.255.7%1st Place
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10.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.743.5%1st Place
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10.7University of New Hampshire-0.823.8%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island0.6713.2%1st Place
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10.53Fairfield University-0.743.5%1st Place
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8.89McGill University-0.365.6%1st Place
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11.2Olin College of Engineering-0.922.7%1st Place
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11.07University of New Hampshire-0.932.5%1st Place
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8.75Northeastern University-0.314.8%1st Place
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7.26University of Vermont0.247.0%1st Place
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12.42Middlebury College-1.421.8%1st Place
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9.53Bates College-0.334.1%1st Place
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11.89University of New Hampshire-1.112.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patience Gifford | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Annecy Kagan | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Greta Traver | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| William DeLong | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Jake Lacoche | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% |
| Anthony Purcell | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Rohan Shah | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% |
| Max Boni | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| William Procter | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.