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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio University-0.02+3.60vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.91+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.27+1.04vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.11+0.31vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.73-0.19vs Predicted
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7Denison University-0.85-0.82vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.97-1.08vs Predicted
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10Denison University-0.41-4.60vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo0.44-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.06Ohio State University0.910.2%1st Place
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4.04University of Notre Dame0.270.1%1st Place
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4.31Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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5.81Purdue University-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.18Denison University-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.92Miami University-1.970.0%1st Place
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5.4Denison University-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Toledo0.440.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Graves | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 24.0% | 23.5% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 14.9% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Alex Graves | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Brian Rosensteel | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 10.7% |
| Nicolas Lyman | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 24.7% | 13.0% |
| William Andreae | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 61.9% |
| William Jaquinde | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 7.6% |
| Scott Marriott | 18.7% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.