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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.46+2.44vs Predicted
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3Denison University-0.08+1.64vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.54+1.44vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.51+0.22vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.34-3.44vs Predicted
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9Miami University-0.70-3.36vs Predicted
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10Denison University-1.30-3.10vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-1.41-3.99vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.62-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Toledo0.460.2%1st Place
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4.64Denison University-0.080.1%1st Place
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5.44Ohio University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.22Purdue University-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.56Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.64Miami University-0.700.1%1st Place
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6.9Denison University-1.300.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Notre Dame-1.410.0%1st Place
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3.16Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fortesue | 19.9% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Duncan O'Brien III | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Connor Madden | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 8.6% |
| Connor Restadius | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 8.1% |
| David Aspery | 19.4% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Chloe Beck | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 10.6% |
| Jordan Kurker-Mraz | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 22.6% | 30.5% |
| William Everage | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 35.8% |
| Corinne Sackett | 25.5% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.