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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Ohio State University0.34+1.67vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.62+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.46-1.58vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.08-1.60vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.54-1.73vs Predicted
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8Miami University-0.70-2.32vs Predicted
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9Denison University-1.30-2.10vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.51-4.67vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-1.41-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.33Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
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3.42University of Toledo0.460.2%1st Place
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4.4Denison University-0.080.1%1st Place
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5.27Ohio University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.68Miami University-0.700.1%1st Place
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6.9Denison University-1.300.0%1st Place
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5.33Purdue University-0.510.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Notre Dame-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 18.6% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Corinne Sackett | 19.0% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Fortesue | 21.7% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Duncan O'Brien III | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Connor Madden | 6.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
| Chloe Beck | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 11.1% |
| Jordan Kurker-Mraz | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 24.9% | 29.5% |
| Connor Restadius | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 9.1% |
| William Everage | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.