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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.51+4.33vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.46-0.41vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.08-1.53vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.54-1.65vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.62-4.93vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.41-2.01vs Predicted
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10Miami University-0.70-4.25vs Predicted
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11Denison University-1.30-4.17vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.34-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Purdue University-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Toledo0.460.2%1st Place
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4.47Denison University-0.080.1%1st Place
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5.35Ohio University-0.540.1%1st Place
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3.07Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
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6.99University of Notre Dame-1.410.0%1st Place
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5.75Miami University-0.700.1%1st Place
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6.83Denison University-1.300.0%1st Place
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3.6Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Restadius | 7.9% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 8.1% |
| Christopher Fortesue | 15.8% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Duncan O'Brien III | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Connor Madden | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% |
| Corinne Sackett | 26.3% | 22.8% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| William Everage | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 33.9% |
| Chloe Beck | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 11.0% |
| Jordan Kurker-Mraz | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 32.0% |
| David Aspery | 18.7% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.