← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Toledo0.46+2.46vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University0.34-0.23vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame-1.41+2.10vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-0.51-0.79vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University0.62-4.88vs Predicted
-
9Miami University-0.70-3.37vs Predicted
-
10Denison University-1.30-3.12vs Predicted
-
11Denison University-0.08-6.54vs Predicted
-
12Ohio University-0.54-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.46University of Toledo0.460.2%1st Place
-
3.77Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
7.1University of Notre Dame-1.410.0%1st Place
-
5.21Purdue University-0.510.1%1st Place
-
3.12Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
-
5.63Miami University-0.700.1%1st Place
-
6.88Denison University-1.300.0%1st Place
-
4.46Denison University-0.080.1%1st Place
-
5.37Ohio University-0.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fortesue | 20.1% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| David Aspery | 14.0% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| William Everage | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 21.2% | 37.1% |
| Connor Restadius | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| Corinne Sackett | 27.1% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Beck | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 10.7% |
| Jordan Kurker-Mraz | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 30.7% |
| Duncan O'Brien III | 11.6% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Connor Madden | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.