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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.46+2.10vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.62-0.10vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.08+0.09vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.51-0.09vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-2.57vs Predicted
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8Denison University-1.30-1.87vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.41-2.64vs Predicted
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10Miami University-0.70-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Toledo0.460.2%1st Place
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2.9Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
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4.09Denison University-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.91Purdue University-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.43Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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6.13Denison University-1.300.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Notre Dame-1.410.0%1st Place
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5.09Miami University-0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fortesue | 22.6% | 21.0% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Corinne Sackett | 25.5% | 22.0% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Duncan O'Brien III | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Connor Restadius | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 9.2% |
| David Aspery | 17.4% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Jordan Kurker-Mraz | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 22.0% | 32.3% |
| William Everage | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 21.3% | 40.6% |
| Chloe Beck | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.