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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.46+2.08vs Predicted
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2Denison University-0.08+2.13vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.34+0.37vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.51+0.92vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.62-3.05vs Predicted
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8Denison University-1.30-1.89vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.41-2.66vs Predicted
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10Miami University-0.70-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Toledo0.460.2%1st Place
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4.13Denison University-0.080.1%1st Place
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3.37Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.92Purdue University-0.510.1%1st Place
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2.95Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
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6.11Denison University-1.300.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Notre Dame-1.410.0%1st Place
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5.11Miami University-0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fortesue | 22.7% | 21.7% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Duncan O'Brien III | 12.5% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| David Aspery | 19.5% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Connor Restadius | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 9.6% |
| Corinne Sackett | 23.7% | 24.3% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Kurker-Mraz | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 32.1% |
| William Everage | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 40.1% |
| Chloe Beck | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 20.3% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.