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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+2.29vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.62+0.92vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.08+0.08vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.51-0.09vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.70-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo0.46-3.84vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.41-2.63vs Predicted
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10Denison University-1.30-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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2.92Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.08Denison University-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.91Purdue University-0.510.1%1st Place
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5.19Miami University-0.700.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Toledo0.460.2%1st Place
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6.37University of Notre Dame-1.410.0%1st Place
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6.09Denison University-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 20.3% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Corinne Sackett | 24.5% | 23.3% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Duncan O'Brien III | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Connor Restadius | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Chloe Beck | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 13.6% |
| Christopher Fortesue | 21.0% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| William Everage | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 22.7% | 40.3% |
| Jordan Kurker-Mraz | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 17.4% | 24.1% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.