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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University2.53+1.94vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+2.93vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.89-0.54vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.40-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester1.17+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester1.17-0.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy0.99-1.45vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.85-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.79-3.18vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.79-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Colgate University2.530.2%1st Place
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4.93Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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2.46Cornell University2.890.3%1st Place
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3.16Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.31University of Rochester1.170.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Rochester1.170.0%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Military Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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5.83Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Layton | 22.3% | 23.7% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 33.2% | 25.5% | 19.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Friedman | 20.0% | 22.1% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 25.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 25.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.