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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+12.24vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+5.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+3.93vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.73+6.52vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72+5.62vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+2.93vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92+2.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+8.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.16vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78+0.11vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.86+3.03vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.67-2.14vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.34-1.04vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University3.26-1.72vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.56-4.78vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.56-5.46vs Predicted
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18Cornell University3.27-5.21vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-6.25vs Predicted
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20Georgetown University3.26-6.86vs Predicted
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21University of Rhode Island2.93-6.47vs Predicted
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22Roger Williams University4.71-16.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.24Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.93Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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10.62Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.38Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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16.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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15.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.11Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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10.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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10.86Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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12.96U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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13.28Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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11.22Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.54Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.79Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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12.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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13.14Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olin Davis | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Sam Williams | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 20.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Philip Alley | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Ian Liberty | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| James Simmons | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.3% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.