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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+10.53vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+7.56vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+8.05vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+4.88vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+2.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71+0.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+8.71vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.26+5.06vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.72+1.57vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.03vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.34+1.36vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.23+1.08vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-2.75vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-7.01vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.53vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.73-5.56vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.27-3.92vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University3.26-5.13vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-6.24vs Predicted
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20Tufts University3.56-8.42vs Predicted
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21University of Rhode Island2.93-6.44vs Predicted
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22University of Michigan2.86-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.53Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.56Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.05Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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15.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.06Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.57Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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12.36U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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13.08Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.25Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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15.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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13.08Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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12.87Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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14.56University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Sam Williams | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.1% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 19.8% |
| Andrew Mason | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Graham Landy | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.4% |
| Olin Davis | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Philip Alley | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| James Simmons | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.