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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.73vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+5.19vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+3.19vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+4.85vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+9.62vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.56+5.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+3.59vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.73+2.68vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.27+3.93vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78+0.14vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.56+0.16vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.26+0.96vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-2.43vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-2.43vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.48vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University3.26-3.16vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.34-4.29vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-5.09vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.23-6.11vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University3.92-10.31vs Predicted
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21University of Michigan2.86-6.14vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.19Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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14.62University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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11.46Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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12.93Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.96Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.57Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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11.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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15.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.84Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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12.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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12.89Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.69Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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15.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| James Simmons | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Olin Davis | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Philip Alley | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Mason | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.