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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+9.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+12.61vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+6.12vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+6.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.34+7.59vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43+1.16vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.23+5.79vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-1.89vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.73+1.50vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.56+1.33vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.56+0.15vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.27+0.95vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-0.04vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-2.44vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-7.99vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.26-3.18vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-6.58vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-2.04vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan2.86-4.23vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University3.92-10.31vs Predicted
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21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-8.09vs Predicted
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22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.66Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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14.61University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.12Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.86Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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12.59U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.79Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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6.11Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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11.33Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.15Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.95Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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12.96Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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11.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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7.01Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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12.82Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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15.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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9.69Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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12.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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15.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| James Simmons | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.5% |
| Sam Williams | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Devin Laviano | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Davis | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Philip Alley | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Graham Landy | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 18.9% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.