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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+10.54vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+8.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+11.89vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+3.17vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.73+5.58vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71+0.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56+4.16vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26+5.00vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.26+3.96vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.72+0.42vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92-1.72vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.27+0.90vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-1.81vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.55-7.00vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-4.44vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-3.11vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.06-7.97vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.89vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-3.09vs Predicted
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20Brown University3.23-6.70vs Predicted
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21University of Michigan2.86-6.17vs Predicted
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22U. S. Naval Academy3.34-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.54Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.84Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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14.89University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.17Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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6.02Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.0Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.96Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.42Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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9.28Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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12.9Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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7.0Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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12.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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15.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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15.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.3Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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12.42U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| James Simmons | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olin Davis | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Mason | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Philip Alley | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Graham Landy | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 20.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.