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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.96vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.83vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.50+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.35-0.05vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.91-1.92vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.07-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.68-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.9246.4%1st Place
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4.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.3%1st Place
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3.71Northeastern University0.5012.0%1st Place
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3.95University of California at Berkeley0.359.1%1st Place
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3.08Rice University0.9117.4%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Davis0.078.6%1st Place
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6.43University of California at San Diego-1.681.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 46.4% | 26.8% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 33.3% | 13.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 12.0% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 13.5% | 3.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 9.1% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 4.2% |
| Ricky Miller | 17.4% | 22.2% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| Braedon Hansen | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 3.9% |
| Grace Richie | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.