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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+5.05vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+12.54vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+6.17vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.56+7.45vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92+4.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.34+6.61vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-0.48vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.22vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.56+2.43vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.72+0.43vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.73-0.73vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.26+0.92vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-0.06vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.23-0.52vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-3.82vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.43-8.92vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-6.61vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-5.17vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-3.08vs Predicted
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20Cornell University3.27-6.91vs Predicted
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21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-6.00vs Predicted
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22University of Michigan2.86-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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14.54University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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11.45Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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12.61U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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6.52Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.43Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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12.92Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.94Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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13.48Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.18Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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7.08Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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12.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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15.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.09Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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15.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% |
| Sam Williams | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| Graham Landy | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Olin Davis | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Mason | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 20.1% |
| Philip Alley | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.