← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.00vs Predicted
-
2Rice University0.91+1.15vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.86vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.50-0.30vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Davis0.07-1.04vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.35-2.05vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.68-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.0California Poly Maritime Academy1.9244.3%1st Place
-
3.15Rice University0.9116.0%1st Place
-
4.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.9%1st Place
-
3.7Northeastern University0.5012.8%1st Place
-
3.96University of California at Davis0.0710.7%1st Place
-
3.95University of California at Berkeley0.359.3%1st Place
-
6.39University of California at San Diego-1.681.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 44.3% | 27.9% | 16.0% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ricky Miller | 16.0% | 21.2% | 23.4% | 19.1% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Florence Duff | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 32.6% | 14.6% |
| Carter Anderson | 12.8% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 2.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 10.7% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 4.7% |
| Enzo Cremers | 9.3% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 4.9% |
| Grace Richie | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 72.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.