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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+13.71vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.56+9.38vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+10.21vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.92+5.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.56+6.44vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+2.89vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-1.13vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.27+5.02vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.43-1.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.96vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-4.52vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.01vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-1.83vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.73-3.12vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.72-4.08vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.34-3.54vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.23-3.70vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.78-7.87vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-3.16vs Predicted
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20Georgetown University3.26-6.87vs Predicted
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21University of Michigan2.86-6.19vs Predicted
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22Harvard University3.67-11.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.71University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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11.38Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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13.21Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.63Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.44Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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13.02Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.07Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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14.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.48Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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13.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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11.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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10.92Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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12.46U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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13.3Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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15.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.13Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Sam Williams | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 14.2% |
| Graham Landy | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Olin Davis | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 19.9% |
| Andrew Mason | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.