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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.98vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.91+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.07+0.96vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.50-0.22vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.35-2.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.68-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98California Poly Maritime Academy1.9245.3%1st Place
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3.15Rice University0.9115.7%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Davis0.0710.3%1st Place
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3.78Northeastern University0.5010.5%1st Place
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4.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.266.1%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Berkeley0.3510.8%1st Place
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6.35University of California at San Diego-1.681.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 45.3% | 28.0% | 15.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 15.7% | 21.7% | 23.8% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 4.4% |
| Carter Anderson | 10.5% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 3.2% |
| Florence Duff | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 31.9% | 15.3% |
| Enzo Cremers | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 4.3% |
| Grace Richie | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 12.2% | 71.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.