← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.35+2.94vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.85vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.09vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.50-0.22vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Davis0.07-1.01vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.68+0.41vs Predicted
-
7Rice University0.91-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.94University of California at Berkeley0.3510.3%1st Place
-
4.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.0%1st Place
-
1.91California Poly Maritime Academy1.9247.8%1st Place
-
3.78Northeastern University0.5010.5%1st Place
-
3.99University of California at Davis0.079.1%1st Place
-
6.41University of California at San Diego-1.681.1%1st Place
-
3.12Rice University0.9116.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Cremers | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 4.7% |
| Florence Duff | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 32.2% | 13.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 47.8% | 27.6% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 10.5% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 20.6% | 13.4% | 2.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 9.1% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 4.4% |
| Grace Richie | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 12.2% | 73.3% |
| Ricky Miller | 16.1% | 22.9% | 23.3% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.