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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.74vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+4.01vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+7.55vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.26+8.91vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.27+7.88vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.92+3.60vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.56+4.12vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.06+1.02vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.23+4.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.56+1.25vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93+3.33vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.72-1.44vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.63-1.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.42vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-3.79vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.43-8.93vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University3.26-3.91vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.86-3.12vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy3.34-6.68vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-6.91vs Predicted
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21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-5.09vs Predicted
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22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-11.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.55Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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12.91Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.88Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.6Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.12Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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13.04Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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14.33University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.56Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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15.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.21Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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7.07Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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13.09Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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12.32U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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13.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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15.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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10.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% |
| Philip Alley | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Sam Williams | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| James Simmons | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 16.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Ian Liberty | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 20.9% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.