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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.06+7.94vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+4.03vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+8.25vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.56+7.43vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72+5.54vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55+0.69vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92+2.37vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.30vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.43-1.94vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.56+1.25vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.26+1.69vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.34+0.54vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.86+1.92vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-3.40vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.46vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-5.30vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.23-3.72vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-5.12vs Predicted
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19Cornell University3.27-6.40vs Predicted
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20Northeastern University3.26-6.93vs Predicted
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21University of Rhode Island2.93-6.53vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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11.43Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.54Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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6.69Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.37Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.69Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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10.6Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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15.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.7Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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13.28Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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12.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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12.6Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.07Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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15.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Williams | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Graham Landy | 9.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Kana | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 14.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Philip Alley | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% |
| James Simmons | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.