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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.77vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.91+0.77vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.50+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.07-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.68+0.53vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77California Poly Maritime Academy1.9249.5%1st Place
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2.77Rice University0.9119.1%1st Place
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3.28Northeastern University0.5012.5%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Davis0.0711.0%1st Place
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5.53University of California at San Diego-1.681.6%1st Place
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4.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.266.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 49.5% | 30.6% | 14.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ricky Miller | 19.1% | 27.5% | 23.4% | 18.8% | 9.5% | 1.7% |
| Carter Anderson | 12.5% | 16.8% | 25.2% | 24.9% | 17.3% | 3.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 11.0% | 15.0% | 22.2% | 25.9% | 20.8% | 5.0% |
| Grace Richie | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 75.7% |
| Florence Duff | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 39.0% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.