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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+3.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.07+1.47vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.21vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.50-0.72vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.91-2.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.68-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.9%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Davis0.0711.4%1st Place
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1.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.9248.9%1st Place
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3.28Northeastern University0.5011.9%1st Place
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2.7Rice University0.9120.3%1st Place
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5.51University of California at San Diego-1.681.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence Duff | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 20.4% | 37.9% | 15.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 11.4% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 26.6% | 21.9% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 48.9% | 30.3% | 14.5% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 11.9% | 17.0% | 26.2% | 24.1% | 17.5% | 3.3% |
| Ricky Miller | 20.3% | 27.3% | 24.5% | 18.4% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Grace Richie | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.