← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.56+10.41vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University4.71+3.97vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University3.26+10.14vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.34+8.52vs Predicted
-
5Boston College4.43+2.17vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College4.06+2.87vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont3.63+3.71vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.67+2.81vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.26+3.83vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.56+1.19vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.93+3.29vs Predicted
-
12Yale University4.55-5.48vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University3.72-2.46vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-0.68vs Predicted
-
15Brown University3.23-1.66vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.01vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University3.92-7.32vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan2.86-3.20vs Predicted
-
19Cornell University3.27-6.41vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.78vs Predicted
-
21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-5.13vs Predicted
-
22Connecticut College3.55-10.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.41Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
5.97Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
13.14Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
-
12.52U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
-
7.17Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
8.87Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
10.71University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
10.81Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
12.83Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
-
11.19Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
-
14.29University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
6.52Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
10.54Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
-
13.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
13.34Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
-
10.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
-
9.68Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
14.8University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
-
12.59Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
-
15.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
15.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
-
11.21Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Mason | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| James Simmons | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% |
| Graham Landy | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% |
| Philip Alley | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.2% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 21.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.