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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University1.90+2.77vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.27+0.07vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.87-0.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy0.86+1.29vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+0.11vs Predicted
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6Queen's University2.04-2.39vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.45-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
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2.07Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.5Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.11Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.0%1st Place
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3.61Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.65Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dinneen | 12.5% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.9% |
| Philip Alley | 40.5% | 29.2% | 18.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Hannon | 26.3% | 29.3% | 23.7% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael Weigand | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 26.6% | 27.1% |
| Ian Hunt | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 23.9% | 25.2% | 22.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 11.1% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 23.4% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 3.0% |
| James McManus | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 22.7% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.