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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+5.01vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.06+6.85vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+7.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.34+8.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+8.03vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+4.78vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.43-0.10vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-1.26vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.63+1.88vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.93vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.27+1.61vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.56-0.65vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+3.03vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-0.70vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-3.31vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.55-4.77vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-2.29vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-8.62vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.16vs Predicted
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20Northeastern University3.26-7.05vs Predicted
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21University of Michigan2.86-6.26vs Predicted
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22Georgetown University3.26-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.75Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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12.56U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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13.03Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.78Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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6.9Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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10.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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12.61Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.35Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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16.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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11.69Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.38Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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14.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.95Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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12.75Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Philip Alley | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 20.6% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| James Simmons | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% |
| Andrew Mason | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.