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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.75vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.91+0.80vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.21vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.50-0.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.68+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.07-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.9251.7%1st Place
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2.8Rice University0.9119.2%1st Place
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4.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.8%1st Place
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3.24Northeastern University0.5012.3%1st Place
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5.5University of California at San Diego-1.681.4%1st Place
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3.5University of California at Davis0.079.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 51.7% | 28.6% | 13.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ricky Miller | 19.2% | 24.9% | 25.0% | 19.4% | 10.0% | 1.5% |
| Florence Duff | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 20.9% | 37.8% | 15.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 12.3% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 23.5% | 17.1% | 3.8% |
| Grace Richie | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 12.8% | 74.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 9.4% | 15.0% | 23.2% | 26.2% | 21.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.