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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.56+9.36vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+10.16vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+4.87vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+10.98vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+6.93vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-0.49vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.26+4.94vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.23+2.88vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.56+0.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.09vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93+1.46vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.43-6.56vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.72-4.17vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.55-4.75vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.67-6.08vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.34-5.65vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.63-8.31vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University3.92-10.41vs Predicted
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21Cornell University3.27-8.26vs Predicted
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22University of Michigan2.86-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.36Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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13.16Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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15.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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12.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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6.51Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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12.94Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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11.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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12.88Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.1Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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15.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.83Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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10.92Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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12.35U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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9.59Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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12.74Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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14.78University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% |
| Sam Williams | 7.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 21.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Graham Landy | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Philip Alley | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Graham | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.