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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.56+2.66vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+0.17vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.07+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.19-0.16vs Predicted
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7Rice University-0.32-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of California at Berkeley-0.5612.7%1st Place
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2.17California Poly Maritime Academy0.5339.9%1st Place
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4.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.7410.8%1st Place
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3.23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.2916.4%1st Place
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5.69University of California at San Diego-2.072.6%1st Place
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5.84University of California at Davis-2.192.3%1st Place
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3.4Rice University-0.3215.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Chen | 12.7% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 3.7% |
| Sam Jennings | 39.9% | 25.9% | 18.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Annika Burns | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 5.7% |
| Lucas Elliott | 16.4% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 29.2% | 40.1% |
| Alexander Lohan | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 25.8% | 46.6% |
| Leo Marek | 15.3% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.