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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.06+7.84vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.86+12.88vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.56+8.58vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.56+7.30vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+1.71vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43+1.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92+2.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+7.16vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-3.08vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.26+2.78vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.72-0.77vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.67-1.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.34-0.53vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.23-0.60vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-3.57vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.27-3.32vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.63-5.91vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University3.26-5.24vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island2.93-4.73vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-6.88vs Predicted
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21Connecticut College3.55-9.66vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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14.88University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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11.58Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.3Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.71Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.35Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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15.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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12.78Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.23Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.77Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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13.4Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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12.68Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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13.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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15.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Williams | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Graham Landy | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Philip Alley | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% |
| James Simmons | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Gullick | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.