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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29+2.24vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+0.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.56+0.63vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+0.05vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.32-1.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.19-0.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.07-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.2917.9%1st Place
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2.14California Poly Maritime Academy0.5340.0%1st Place
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3.63University of California at Berkeley-0.5612.7%1st Place
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4.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.749.5%1st Place
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3.38Rice University-0.3214.7%1st Place
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5.84University of California at Davis-2.192.1%1st Place
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5.72University of California at San Diego-2.073.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Elliott | 17.9% | 19.7% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 40.0% | 27.8% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 12.7% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 19.1% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
| Annika Burns | 9.5% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 5.3% |
| Leo Marek | 14.7% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Lohan | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 26.6% | 45.7% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 27.7% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.