← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
9.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.80+7.53vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.62+7.38vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.37+7.65vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.55+10.52vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+4.24vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.05+6.40vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.84+6.03vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.96vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.55+0.63vs Predicted
-
10Yale University4.10-2.83vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.12vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University4.31-5.73vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College3.44-2.70vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University3.33-3.33vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University3.05-3.08vs Predicted
-
16Boston University3.35-5.43vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-5.25vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University3.36-7.10vs Predicted
-
19University of Michigan3.02-6.61vs Predicted
-
20Cornell University2.77-6.47vs Predicted
-
21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.53Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
-
9.38Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
-
10.65Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
14.52University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
-
12.4Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
13.03Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
12.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.63Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
-
7.17Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
6.27Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
10.3Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
-
10.67Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
-
11.92Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.57Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
-
11.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
-
10.9Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
-
12.39University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
-
13.53Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
15.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| William Hutchings | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 14.3% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Drew Shea | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% |
| Daniel Eichler | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Wick Dudley | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Seago | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.