← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rice University-0.23+2.35vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+0.10vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+1.01vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Davis-2.19+1.83vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-1.68vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-2.07-0.24vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley-0.56-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35Rice University-0.2315.0%1st Place
-
2.1California Poly Maritime Academy0.5341.8%1st Place
-
4.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.7410.9%1st Place
-
5.83University of California at Davis-2.192.2%1st Place
-
3.32University of California at Santa Cruz-0.2914.9%1st Place
-
5.76University of California at San Diego-2.072.8%1st Place
-
3.63University of California at Berkeley-0.5612.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Unger | 15.0% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Sam Jennings | 41.8% | 27.2% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Annika Burns | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 24.1% | 16.4% | 5.2% |
| Alexander Lohan | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 28.9% | 44.4% |
| Lucas Elliott | 14.9% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 26.3% | 44.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 12.4% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 20.7% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.