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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+7.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+10.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+7.61vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84+9.20vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+5.72vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.31+0.44vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10+0.05vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.33+2.46vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.44+1.08vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+1.88vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.12vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36-1.31vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-3.73vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-1.89vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.62-5.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.48vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.55-7.42vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan3.02-5.44vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.55-4.34vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.74vs Predicted
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21Cornell University2.77-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.23Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.61Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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13.2Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.72Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.05Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.46Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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11.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
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9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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10.69Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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12.11Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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15.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.58Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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12.56University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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14.66University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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13.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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13.21Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Drew Shea | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Eichler | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Peter Miller | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Wick Dudley | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 21.8% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 16.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.