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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+7.55vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+8.64vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.55+6.72vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.31+2.17vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.62+4.45vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+6.16vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36+3.43vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84+4.87vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan3.02+3.18vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77+3.51vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-3.91vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.44-1.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.55vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-6.06vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.05-3.89vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.37-6.58vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.33-6.90vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-9.01vs Predicted
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20Harvard University3.05-7.90vs Predicted
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21University of Vermont2.55-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.64Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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12.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
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10.43Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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12.87Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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13.51Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.09Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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13.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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15.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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12.11Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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11.1Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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9.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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12.1Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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14.3University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Wick Dudley | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Miller | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 22.8% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Drew Shea | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| William Hutchings | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Eichler | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.