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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University-0.23+2.28vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.07+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-2.19+1.86vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.56-1.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-2.73vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Rice University-0.2316.3%1st Place
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2.17California Poly Maritime Academy0.5339.5%1st Place
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5.73University of California at San Diego-2.072.7%1st Place
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5.86University of California at Davis-2.192.3%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Berkeley-0.5612.0%1st Place
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3.27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.2917.1%1st Place
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3.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.7410.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Unger | 16.3% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Sam Jennings | 39.5% | 27.0% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 29.2% | 41.2% |
| Alexander Lohan | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 28.1% | 46.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 12.0% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 12.2% | 3.6% |
| Lucas Elliott | 17.1% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Annika Burns | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 23.0% | 14.8% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.