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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University-0.23+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.07+2.00vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-1.88vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.19-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Rice University-0.2316.2%1st Place
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2.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.8234.9%1st Place
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5.0University of California at San Diego-2.072.2%1st Place
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2.12California Poly Maritime Academy0.5335.4%1st Place
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3.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.748.9%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Davis-2.192.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Unger | 16.2% | 19.8% | 26.4% | 23.8% | 11.7% | 2.3% |
| George Soliman | 34.9% | 29.5% | 21.9% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 33.7% | 43.4% |
| Sam Jennings | 35.4% | 32.0% | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Annika Burns | 8.9% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 33.0% | 20.6% | 6.2% |
| Alexander Lohan | 2.3% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 29.6% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.