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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+1.24vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+0.09vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+0.62vs Predicted
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4Rice University-0.23-0.99vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.07-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.19-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.8231.9%1st Place
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2.09California Poly Maritime Academy0.5337.0%1st Place
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3.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.7410.0%1st Place
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3.01Rice University-0.2315.9%1st Place
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4.98University of California at San Diego-2.072.8%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Davis-2.192.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Soliman | 31.9% | 31.6% | 21.6% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Sam Jennings | 37.0% | 31.6% | 19.5% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Annika Burns | 10.0% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 32.0% | 20.6% | 6.7% |
| Arthur Unger | 15.9% | 19.2% | 28.0% | 24.0% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 34.6% | 42.0% |
| Alexander Lohan | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 29.0% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.