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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.44+8.53vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+9.61vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.80+5.13vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+7.21vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.55+4.09vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+2.61vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31-0.98vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35+1.81vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.23vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.37-0.04vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-0.94vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-0.23vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.62-3.88vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-2.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.46vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.23-5.40vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-4.40vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.33-7.81vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.55-5.27vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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8.13Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
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9.09Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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6.02Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.81Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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10.06Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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11.77Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.12Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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11.38Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.6Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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12.6Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.19Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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14.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Miller | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% |
| Hans Henken | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Wick Dudley | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.9% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Drew Shea | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% |
| Rob Struckett | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% |
| Daniel Eichler | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 15.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.