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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+8.91vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+9.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.31+2.96vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.62+4.71vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.23+5.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05+5.60vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.44+2.93vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.55+0.97vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.22vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.55+2.80vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-1.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.04vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-2.53vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.33-4.91vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-6.03vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.64vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.80-9.96vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan3.02-7.45vs Predicted
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20Cornell University2.77-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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11.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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10.58Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.6Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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8.97Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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13.8University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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10.19Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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15.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.47Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.09Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.97Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.04Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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12.83Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Wick Dudley | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Rob Struckett | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Drew Shea | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Peter Miller | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 15.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 25.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Daniel Eichler | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% |
| Hans Henken | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.