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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands-0.38+2.78vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+0.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-2.19+1.86vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.23-1.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.07-0.14vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78California State University Channel Islands-0.3810.6%1st Place
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2.37California Poly Maritime Academy0.5332.4%1st Place
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2.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.8229.5%1st Place
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5.86University of California at Davis-2.192.7%1st Place
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3.46Rice University-0.2314.4%1st Place
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5.86University of California at San Diego-2.072.4%1st Place
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4.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.748.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Stadtherr | 10.6% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 21.2% | 12.3% | 3.2% |
| Sam Jennings | 32.4% | 27.9% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 29.5% | 27.5% | 20.4% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Lohan | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 28.4% | 45.5% |
| Arthur Unger | 14.4% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 30.4% | 43.4% |
| Annika Burns | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 27.1% | 16.9% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.