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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+8.50vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+8.48vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.44+7.06vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+7.93vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+6.99vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.55+8.60vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.62+2.02vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+0.73vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.80-0.85vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.11vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.33-0.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84+1.12vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-2.44vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-4.33vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.37-4.90vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan3.02-3.95vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.23-6.01vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-6.06vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.55vs Predicted
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20Cornell University2.77-6.68vs Predicted
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21Roger Williams University4.31-15.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.48Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.06Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.93Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.99Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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14.6University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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8.15Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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13.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.47Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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13.12Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.56Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.99Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
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15.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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13.32Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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5.76Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Peter Miller | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Drew Shea | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 14.7% |
| Bernie Roesler | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Louis Padnos | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Hans Henken | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% |
| Daniel Eichler | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Rob Struckett | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Wick Dudley | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 22.2% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.