← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University2.87+1.49vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University3.27+0.04vs Predicted
-
3Colgate University1.90+0.81vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Military Academy0.86+1.30vs Predicted
-
5Queen's University2.04-1.37vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-0.90vs Predicted
-
7Hamilton College0.45-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
-
2.04Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
-
3.81Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
-
5.3U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
-
3.63Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
-
5.1Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.0%1st Place
-
5.64Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Hannon | 29.9% | 27.0% | 20.7% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Philip Alley | 41.1% | 31.2% | 15.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Dinneen | 9.5% | 12.7% | 21.0% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Michael Weigand | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 27.9% | 26.4% |
| Peter Soosalu | 10.5% | 15.3% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 17.1% | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| Ian Hunt | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 21.2% | 26.0% | 22.0% |
| James McManus | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 23.3% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.