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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+1.35vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.44+2.04vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58-0.63vs Predicted
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4Florida State University-0.27+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.50-0.73vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-1.35+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.20-1.78vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.58-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Jacksonville University1.7033.3%1st Place
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4.04Eckerd College0.449.9%1st Place
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2.37Jacksonville University1.5833.6%1st Place
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5.21Florida State University-0.274.3%1st Place
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4.27University of South Florida0.509.2%1st Place
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6.74Rollins College-1.351.7%1st Place
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5.22University of Central Florida-0.204.0%1st Place
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5.81Embry-Riddle University-0.584.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 33.3% | 26.8% | 21.5% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 9.9% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 33.6% | 27.6% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 10.8% |
| Luke Justin | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Harriss Thorne | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 50.9% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 10.8% |
| Andrew Lam | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 24.9% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.