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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+5.13vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+7.77vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.44+7.01vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.23+6.97vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.62+4.26vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+3.17vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.55+2.37vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.77vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.80-0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan3.02+2.15vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84+1.87vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36-1.54vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.05-0.88vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-0.68vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.33-4.72vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.55-1.60vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.35-6.64vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-6.02vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.37-8.65vs Predicted
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20Harvard University3.05-8.04vs Predicted
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21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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10.97Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.26Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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9.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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9.37Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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12.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.17Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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12.87Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.46Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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12.12Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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13.32Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.28Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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14.4University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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10.36Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.96Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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15.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Peter Miller | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Rob Struckett | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Bernie Roesler | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% |
| Hans Henken | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Drew Shea | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% |
| Daniel Eichler | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 16.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Wick Dudley | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.