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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+1.36vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.50+2.40vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58-0.71vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.44+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.20+0.18vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.27-0.79vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.20vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-1.35-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Jacksonville University1.7032.2%1st Place
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4.4University of South Florida0.508.0%1st Place
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2.29Jacksonville University1.5834.4%1st Place
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4.03Eckerd College0.4410.2%1st Place
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5.18University of Central Florida-0.205.5%1st Place
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5.21Florida State University-0.274.4%1st Place
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5.8Embry-Riddle University-0.583.8%1st Place
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6.73Rollins College-1.351.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 32.2% | 29.4% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke Justin | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Cole Schweda | 34.4% | 29.1% | 19.4% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 10.2% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Charlie Eckert | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 11.2% |
| Tia Schoening | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 10.9% |
| Andrew Lam | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 23.5% | 20.8% |
| Harriss Thorne | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.