← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.70+1.39vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.58+0.40vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.50+1.35vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College0.44-0.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Central Florida-0.20+0.21vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University-0.27-0.88vs Predicted
-
7Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.17vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College-1.35-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.39Jacksonville University1.7031.9%1st Place
-
2.4Jacksonville University1.5832.0%1st Place
-
4.35University of South Florida0.508.3%1st Place
-
3.94Eckerd College0.4411.9%1st Place
-
5.21University of Central Florida-0.205.3%1st Place
-
5.12Florida State University-0.275.5%1st Place
-
5.83Embry-Riddle University-0.583.5%1st Place
-
6.75Rollins College-1.351.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 31.9% | 29.1% | 19.0% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 32.0% | 28.4% | 19.1% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 8.3% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 3.7% |
| Carter Morin | 11.9% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Eckert | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 19.1% | 11.0% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 10.3% |
| Andrew Lam | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 24.1% | 22.1% |
| Harriss Thorne | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.