← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+9.17vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University4.31+4.29vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+6.31vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.37+6.63vs Predicted
-
5Yale University4.10+2.34vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.80+2.80vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.33+3.72vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.84+4.96vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.55+0.66vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.93+2.89vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.40vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.05+0.33vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.62-3.48vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.05-1.77vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.35-4.52vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College3.44-5.75vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.66vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-5.72vs Predicted
-
19Cornell University2.77-5.31vs Predicted
-
20University of Michigan3.02-7.60vs Predicted
-
21Salve Regina University3.36-10.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
6.29Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
9.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.63Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
7.34Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
8.8Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
-
10.72Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
-
12.96Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
9.66Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
-
12.89University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
-
15.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
12.33Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
9.52Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
-
12.23Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.48Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
-
10.25Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
-
13.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
12.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
-
13.69Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
-
10.3Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| William Hutchings | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Hans Henken | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Eichler | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 24.4% |
| Drew Shea | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Peter Miller | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Wick Dudley | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.