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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.44+2.99vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.58+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida-0.20+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.50+0.33vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.70-2.62vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.58-0.20vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.27-1.87vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-1.35-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Eckerd College0.4410.2%1st Place
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2.39Jacksonville University1.5832.4%1st Place
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5.21University of Central Florida-0.205.2%1st Place
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4.33University of South Florida0.508.5%1st Place
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2.38Jacksonville University1.7033.5%1st Place
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5.8Embry-Riddle University-0.583.1%1st Place
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5.13Florida State University-0.275.3%1st Place
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6.78Rollins College-1.351.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Morin | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 32.4% | 27.2% | 21.2% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 10.4% |
| Luke Justin | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 3.8% |
| Patrick Igoe | 33.5% | 27.6% | 19.1% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 25.9% | 20.4% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 18.4% | 10.8% |
| Harriss Thorne | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.