← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.31+5.36vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.33+8.88vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan3.02+9.44vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.44+6.18vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.12vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.05+6.53vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.84+6.02vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.80+0.40vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.37+1.53vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.35+0.81vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University3.36-0.42vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+0.02vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.62-3.49vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.77-0.41vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.55-5.42vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-6.79vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.05-4.83vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.35vs Predicted
-
19University of Vermont2.93-6.12vs Predicted
-
20Yale University4.10-12.82vs Predicted
-
21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.36Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
10.88Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
-
12.44University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
-
10.18Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
-
10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
12.53Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
13.02Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
8.4Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
-
10.53Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
10.81Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
-
10.58Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
12.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
-
9.51Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
-
13.59Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
9.58Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
-
9.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
-
12.17Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
13.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
12.88University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.18Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
15.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Eichler | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Seago | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Peter Miller | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% |
| Hans Henken | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| William Hutchings | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Wick Dudley | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Drew Shea | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.