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📊 Prediction Accuracy
9.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+9.72vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+8.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.62+6.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+9.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05+7.33vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+3.49vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36+3.58vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.93+4.62vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.93vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.31-3.59vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77+2.42vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+0.08vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.80-4.35vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.33-3.21vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-2.82vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.44-5.75vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.10-9.94vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.10vs Predicted
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19Boston College3.55-9.18vs Predicted
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20Harvard University3.05-7.79vs Predicted
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21Northeastern University2.84-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.72Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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10.81Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.48Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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13.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.33Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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10.58Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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9.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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13.42Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
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8.65Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.79Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.25Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.06Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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15.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.82Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
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12.21Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.94Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% |
| Drew Shea | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% |
| Wick Dudley | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Hans Henken | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Eichler | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Peter Miller | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 25.9% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.