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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+9.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+10.32vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+4.09vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.93+8.83vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.37vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.44+4.53vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.62+2.28vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37+2.36vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.95vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.31-3.57vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan3.02+1.26vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05+0.41vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-0.88vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.80-5.55vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.55-5.45vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-5.37vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-3.43vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-8.46vs Predicted
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19Georgetown University3.33-8.06vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.36vs Predicted
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21Northeastern University2.84-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.8Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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12.32Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.09Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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12.83University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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13.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.53Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.28Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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9.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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6.43Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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12.26University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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12.41Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.0%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.63Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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13.57Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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10.94Georgetown University3.330.0%1st Place
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15.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.94Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 8.2% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% |
| Peter Miller | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| William Hutchings | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Drew Shea | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Wick Dudley | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Hans Henken | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Eichler | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 24.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.