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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+0.80vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College-0.17+2.02vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.31+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.01-0.26vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.30-1.73vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-1.34-0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-1.69-0.79vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-2.55-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Jacksonville University1.4551.0%1st Place
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4.02Eckerd College-0.178.6%1st Place
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4.14Jacksonville University-0.318.2%1st Place
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3.74University of South Florida0.0111.9%1st Place
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3.27Embry-Riddle University0.3014.9%1st Place
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5.68Rollins College-1.342.8%1st Place
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6.21University of Central Florida-1.691.8%1st Place
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7.14Florida State University-2.550.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Hank Seum | 51.0% | 28.0% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lily Schwartz | 8.6% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
Ella Lansford | 8.2% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
Blake March | 11.9% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
Kevin Martin | 14.9% | 21.2% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
Julian Drake | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 23.2% | 27.9% | 13.2% |
Nikolas Pantelis | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 17.3% | 34.8% | 22.6% |
Olivia Figley | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 18.1% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.