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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+0.76vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-0.31+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.01+0.81vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-1.34+1.68vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.30-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida-1.69+0.16vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-2.55+0.19vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Jacksonville University1.4552.9%1st Place
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4.17Jacksonville University-0.318.5%1st Place
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3.81University of South Florida0.019.5%1st Place
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5.68Rollins College-1.343.5%1st Place
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3.28Embry-Riddle University0.3014.5%1st Place
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6.16University of Central Florida-1.692.3%1st Place
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7.19Florida State University-2.550.5%1st Place
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3.94Eckerd College-0.178.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Hank Seum | 52.9% | 27.5% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ella Lansford | 8.5% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
Blake March | 9.5% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
Julian Drake | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 22.4% | 28.4% | 12.8% |
Kevin Martin | 14.5% | 21.9% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
Nikolas Pantelis | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 32.3% | 22.4% |
Olivia Figley | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 19.4% | 61.3% |
Lily Schwartz | 8.2% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.