← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Maine Maritime Academy3.06+4.82vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.64+1.21vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.53+3.46vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.29+5.24vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.54+0.61vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.41-0.02vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut1.72+1.03vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College1.53+0.68vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-0.55vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami3.25-6.57vs Predicted
-
13Wesleyan University2.71-5.95vs Predicted
-
14Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71-3.64vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.67-10.57vs Predicted
-
16Bates College0.74-3.41vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College3.52-12.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.82Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
-
4.21Brown University3.640.2%1st Place
-
7.46Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
-
11.24University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
-
7.61Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
7.98Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
-
10.03University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
-
10.68Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
-
10.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
-
5.43University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
-
7.05Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
-
10.36Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.0%1st Place
-
4.43Tufts University3.670.1%1st Place
-
12.59Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
-
4.67Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Burgess | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 17.7% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Presti | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.9% |
| Daniel Barry | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 9.1% |
| William Howard | 11.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.5% |
| Ben Weigel | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Calahan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 38.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 13.6% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.