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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.27+1.09vs Predicted
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2Queen's University2.04+1.84vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.87-0.41vs Predicted
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4Colgate University1.90+0.08vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+0.54vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.45+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.79-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.79-3.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy0.86-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
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3.84Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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2.59Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
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4.08Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.54Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.0%1st Place
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6.32Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Alley | 41.1% | 28.5% | 17.3% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 11.1% | 13.2% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Hannon | 26.2% | 27.7% | 22.3% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dinneen | 9.3% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| James McManus | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 36.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Weigand | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.