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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+0.79vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-0.31+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.01+0.76vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University0.30-0.64vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-1.34+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida-1.69+0.10vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-2.55+0.21vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79Jacksonville University1.4552.4%1st Place
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4.12Jacksonville University-0.319.6%1st Place
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3.76University of South Florida0.0110.1%1st Place
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3.36Embry-Riddle University0.3013.3%1st Place
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5.72Rollins College-1.342.7%1st Place
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6.1University of Central Florida-1.692.2%1st Place
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7.21Florida State University-2.550.8%1st Place
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3.94Eckerd College-0.178.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Hank Seum | 52.4% | 26.1% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ella Lansford | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 1.5% |
Blake March | 10.1% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
Kevin Martin | 13.3% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 21.9% | 14.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
Julian Drake | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 25.1% | 26.4% | 13.7% |
Nikolas Pantelis | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 33.7% | 20.5% |
Olivia Figley | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 18.6% | 62.6% |
Lily Schwartz | 8.9% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.