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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+0.79vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-1.34+3.70vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.31+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.01-0.26vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.30-1.71vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.55+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-1.69-0.82vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79Jacksonville University1.4550.4%1st Place
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5.7Rollins College-1.342.9%1st Place
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4.15Jacksonville University-0.318.5%1st Place
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3.74University of South Florida0.0110.3%1st Place
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3.29Embry-Riddle University0.3015.7%1st Place
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7.16Florida State University-2.551.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Central Florida-1.692.2%1st Place
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3.99Eckerd College-0.179.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 50.4% | 29.2% | 13.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Drake | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 22.5% | 27.6% | 13.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 8.5% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 15.8% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Blake March | 10.3% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martin | 15.7% | 19.9% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Figley | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 18.3% | 62.0% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 18.4% | 34.9% | 21.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 9.0% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.